Technology
Will AI replace frontend developers?
BLS places web developers in its “Very high” AI-exposure category (of four, relative to other occupations). BLS projects employment to grow 3.8% from 2025 to 2035, with about 5,300 openings a year. OEWS May 2025 median pay is $92,650 (10th–90th percentile $48,100–$162,290). Typical entry education: bachelor's degree.
Sources: BLS AI exposure categories and Employment Projections 2025–35 (released 27 August 2026); BLS OEWS May 2025; tasks from O*NET 31.0 (CC BY 4.0).
Figures are for the BLS occupation Web developers (SOC 15-1254), the closest occupation BLS tracks. BLS classifies front-end work as Web Developers; it has no separate front-end occupation.
Frontend developers build the part of a website or app people see and use, and keep it fast and accessible.
The figures, with their sources
| AI-exposure category | Very high (of Low, Moderate, High, Very high)BLS AI exposure categories, 2025–35 |
|---|---|
| Employment, 2025 → 2035 | 87,400 → 90,600BLS Employment Projections 2025–35 |
| Projected change, 2025–35 | +3.8%BLS Employment Projections 2025–35 |
| Openings per year (2025–35 average) | 5,300BLS Employment Projections 2025–35 |
| Median annual pay | $92,650BLS OEWS, May 2025 |
| 10th–90th percentile pay | $48,100 – $162,290BLS OEWS, May 2025 |
| Typical entry education | Bachelor's degreeBLS Employment Projections 2025–35 |
National figures, all industries and all experience levels. Employment and openings are published by BLS in thousands; pay is annual, in US dollars.
What BLS says, in its own words
“Very high” relative AI exposure generally indicates that, compared to other occupations, a larger fraction of an occupation’s tasks can be completed or assisted by AI technology, and that LLMs have been observed performing some of the occupation’s tasks.
“An exposure category is not a forecast of employment growth or decline.” “Exposure does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability, or wage effects.”
“Occupational substitution, capital/labor substitution - share decreases as low- and no-code tools, along with artificial intelligence (AI), increasingly automate web development and increasingly allow other workers to complete web development tasks.”
Our count from the BLS table: 141 of the 206 occupations in the “Very high” category are projected to grow from 2025 to 2035. That is our arithmetic on BLS data, not a BLS statement.
What the work is: O*NET® tasks
The occupation’s core tasks, most important first, as O*NET 31.0 words them.
- 1.Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.
- 2.Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.
- 3.Back up files from Web sites to local directories for instant recovery in case of problems.
- 4.Select programming languages, design tools, or applications.
- 5.Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.Judgment · Accountability
- 6.Develop databases that support Web applications and Web sites.
- 7.Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.Accountability
- 8.Perform or direct Web site updates.Accountability
How we tag: a task is tagged Judgment, Accountability or Relationships when O*NET’s wording uses one of these verbs. Judgment: evaluate, assess, determine, decide, interpret, diagnose, recommend, investigate, approve, prioritize, resolve. Accountability: direct, supervise, manage, oversee, ensure, plan, establish, authorize, comply. Relationships: confer, consult, negotiate, advise, collaborate, liaise, mentor, train, counsel, persuade, interview, present, meet with. This is our reading of the task text, not an O*NET or BLS classification, and it is not a measure of AI exposure.
For new graduates
- Typical entry education
- Bachelor's degree
- BLS Employment Projections 2025–35
- Openings per year
- 5,300
- All levels, not entry-level only
The tasks to show proof for: 3 of 8 are about judgment, accountability or relationships
We point you at these because our method treats them as the work that is hardest to hand to AI. That is our judgment, not a BLS or O*NET finding. A capstone, an internship or a part-time job where you made the call, owned the outcome or worked with the people involved is proof. Write what you did, not what you were assigned.
Show the 3 tasks
- Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.
- Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.
- Perform or direct Web site updates.
What this data does not tell you
- How many openings are entry-level, or how many go to new graduates. BLS counts openings at every level.
- How AI will change hiring for junior roles in this occupation. The exposure category is about the occupation’s tasks, and BLS says it is not a forecast.
- Pay or openings in your city or industry. These are national figures.
- Whether your own tasks match these. O*NET describes the occupation, not your job.
BLS also publishes the work experience and on-the-job training usually needed; see the BLS projections table.
Proof worth finding for a Frontend Developer application
Our editorial starting list, not a survey of postings. The posting you apply to decides what counts.
- Framework proficiency with production-scale examples (React, Vue, Angular, or Next.js)
- Performance optimization evidence (Core Web Vitals, bundle size, rendering)
- Accessibility compliance (WCAG 2.1+) implementation
- Design system creation or contribution
- State management and API integration patterns
Show your proof for one real posting
- Step 1Job Match · 5 tokensPaste a real posting. For each requirement, we quote the line in your resume that proves it, or say nothing was found.
- Step 2Resume · 15 tokensRewrite toward that posting from your own words. Any number we could not find in them is listed for you to check.
- Step 3Know your tasks · FreeYour own tasks against the web developers data above, labeled task by task.
Related role guides
Technology guide- Product Marketing ManagerProduct marketing managers position a product for its market: launches, competitive analysis, messaging and the material sales teams use.
- Software EngineerSoftware engineers design, build, test and maintain software, from a single feature to the systems many teams depend on.
- Data AnalystData analysts turn business questions into queries, charts and recommendations that someone can act on.
Questions people ask
Will AI replace frontend developers?
The data does not say so. BLS places web developers in its “Very high” relative AI-exposure category and states that “An exposure category is not a forecast of employment growth or decline.” In BLS’s words: “Very high” relative AI exposure generally indicates that, compared to other occupations, a larger fraction of an occupation’s tasks can be completed or assisted by AI technology, and that LLMs have been observed performing some of the occupation’s tasks. BLS projects employment to grow 3.8% from 2025 to 2035 (BLS Employment Projections 2025–35). By our count from the BLS table, 141 of the 206 occupations in the “Very high” category are projected to grow.
How many frontend developers jobs open each year?
BLS projects about 5,300 openings a year for web developers, averaged over 2025–35. BLS defines openings as net employment change plus workers permanently leaving the occupation, so a declining occupation can still have openings. Employment was 87,400 in 2025.
How much do frontend developers earn?
BLS OEWS (May 2025) puts the national median annual wage for web developers at $92,650. The 10th percentile is $48,100, the 25th $64,230, the 75th $126,230 and the 90th $162,290. These are all industries and all experience levels in the United States; pay in your city and at your level will differ.
What education do frontend developers need?
BLS lists “Bachelor's degree” as the typical education needed to enter web developers. It is the typical path, not a rule: postings set their own requirements.
How does AISkillScore check a Frontend Developer application?
We count, we do not guess. Job Match reads the posting’s requirements and, for each one, quotes the line in your resume that proves it, or says nothing was found. The resume rewrite keeps your claims and lists any number it could not find in your own words so you can check it before you send.
Sources
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Artificial Intelligence (AI) exposure categories; Occupational projections, 2025–35, and worker characteristics; Employment Projections definitions; Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025: Web developers. BLS data is in the public domain.
This page includes information from the O*NET 31.0 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. O*NET 31.0 Database · CC BY 4.0 · Web developers on O*NET OnLine. Changes: we show up to eight of the occupation’s core tasks, most important first, merged across the O*NET codes BLS groups into one occupation, and we add our own task tags.
Check your proof against a real Frontend Developer posting
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