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Will AI replace graphic designers?

BLS places graphic designers in its “Very high” AI-exposure category (of four, relative to other occupations). BLS projects employment to decline 1.7% from 2025 to 2035, with about 16,000 openings a year. OEWS May 2025 median pay is $62,960 (10th–90th percentile $39,520–$104,910). Typical entry education: bachelor's degree.

Sources: BLS AI exposure categories and Employment Projections 2025–35 (released 27 August 2026); BLS OEWS May 2025; tasks from O*NET 31.0 (CC BY 4.0).

Figures are for the BLS occupation Graphic designers (SOC 27-1024).

Graphic designers create the visual material of a brand: identities, layouts, campaigns and product graphics.

The figures, with their sources

BLS and OEWS figures for Graphic designers
AI-exposure categoryVery high (of Low, Moderate, High, Very high)BLS AI exposure categories, 2025–35BLS AI exposure categories, 2025–35
Employment, 2025 → 2035253,100 → 248,800BLS Employment Projections 2025–35BLS Employment Projections 2025–35
Projected change, 2025–35−1.7%BLS Employment Projections 2025–35BLS Employment Projections 2025–35
Openings per year (2025–35 average)16,000BLS Employment Projections 2025–35BLS Employment Projections 2025–35
Median annual pay$62,960BLS OEWS, May 2025BLS OEWS, May 2025
10th–90th percentile pay$39,520 – $104,910BLS OEWS, May 2025BLS OEWS, May 2025
Typical entry educationBachelor's degreeBLS Employment Projections 2025–35BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

National figures, all industries and all experience levels. Employment and openings are published by BLS in thousands; pay is annual, in US dollars.

What BLS says, in its own words

“Very high” relative AI exposure generally indicates that, compared to other occupations, a larger fraction of an occupation’s tasks can be completed or assisted by AI technology, and that LLMs have been observed performing some of the occupation’s tasks.
BLS, AI exposure categories
“An exposure category is not a forecast of employment growth or decline.” “Exposure does not imply job loss, productivity gains, automation probability, or wage effects.”
BLS, AI exposure categories
“Productivity change, capital/labor substitution - share decreases as new technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), replace some workers and make other workers more efficient.”
BLS, on what drives the graphic designers projection (Employment Projections 2025–35)

Our count from the BLS table: 141 of the 206 occupations in the “Very high” category are projected to grow from 2025 to 2035. That is our arithmetic on BLS data, not a BLS statement.

What the work is: O*NET® tasks

The occupation’s core tasks, most important first, as O*NET 31.0 words them.

  1. 1.Key information into computer equipment to create layouts for client or supervisor.Accountability
  2. 2.Review final layouts and suggest improvements, as needed.
  3. 3.Determine size and arrangement of illustrative material and copy, and select style and size of type.Judgment
  4. 4.Develop graphics and layouts for product illustrations, company logos, and Web sites.
  5. 5.Create designs, concepts, and sample layouts, based on knowledge of layout principles and esthetic design concepts.
  6. 6.Use computer software to generate new images.
  7. 7.Prepare digital files for printing.
  8. 8.Confer with clients to discuss and determine layout design.Judgment · Relationships

How we tag: a task is tagged Judgment, Accountability or Relationships when O*NET’s wording uses one of these verbs. Judgment: evaluate, assess, determine, decide, interpret, diagnose, recommend, investigate, approve, prioritize, resolve. Accountability: direct, supervise, manage, oversee, ensure, plan, establish, authorize, comply. Relationships: confer, consult, negotiate, advise, collaborate, liaise, mentor, train, counsel, persuade, interview, present, meet with. This is our reading of the task text, not an O*NET or BLS classification, and it is not a measure of AI exposure.

For new graduates

Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
BLS Employment Projections 2025–35
Openings per year
16,000
All levels, not entry-level only

The tasks to show proof for: 3 of 8 are about judgment, accountability or relationships

We point you at these because our method treats them as the work that is hardest to hand to AI. That is our judgment, not a BLS or O*NET finding. A capstone, an internship or a part-time job where you made the call, owned the outcome or worked with the people involved is proof. Write what you did, not what you were assigned.

Show the 3 tasks
  • Key information into computer equipment to create layouts for client or supervisor.
  • Determine size and arrangement of illustrative material and copy, and select style and size of type.
  • Confer with clients to discuss and determine layout design.

What this data does not tell you

  • How many openings are entry-level, or how many go to new graduates. BLS counts openings at every level.
  • How AI will change hiring for junior roles in this occupation. The exposure category is about the occupation’s tasks, and BLS says it is not a forecast.
  • Pay or openings in your city or industry. These are national figures.
  • Whether your own tasks match these. O*NET describes the occupation, not your job.

BLS also publishes the work experience and on-the-job training usually needed; see the BLS projections table.

Proof worth finding for a Graphic Designer application

Our editorial starting list, not a survey of postings. The posting you apply to decides what counts.

  • Brand identity and design system creation with documented consistency outcomes
  • Proficiency across print, digital, and motion design formats
  • Strategic brand thinking with measurable campaign or business outcomes
  • Cross-functional collaboration with marketing and product teams
  • Tool proficiency in Figma, Adobe Creative Suite, or equivalent platforms

Show your proof for one real posting

  1. Step 1Job Match · 5 tokensPaste a real posting. For each requirement, we quote the line in your resume that proves it, or say nothing was found.
  2. Step 2Resume · 15 tokensRewrite toward that posting from your own words. Any number we could not find in them is listed for you to check.
  3. Step 3Know your tasks · FreeYour own tasks against the graphic designers data above, labeled task by task.

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Questions people ask

Will AI replace graphic designers?

The data does not say so. BLS places graphic designers in its “Very high” relative AI-exposure category and states that “An exposure category is not a forecast of employment growth or decline.” In BLS’s words: “Very high” relative AI exposure generally indicates that, compared to other occupations, a larger fraction of an occupation’s tasks can be completed or assisted by AI technology, and that LLMs have been observed performing some of the occupation’s tasks. BLS projects employment to decline 1.7% from 2025 to 2035 (BLS Employment Projections 2025–35). By our count from the BLS table, 141 of the 206 occupations in the “Very high” category are projected to grow.

How many graphic designers jobs open each year?

BLS projects about 16,000 openings a year for graphic designers, averaged over 2025–35. BLS defines openings as net employment change plus workers permanently leaving the occupation, so a declining occupation can still have openings. Employment was 253,100 in 2025.

How much do graphic designers earn?

BLS OEWS (May 2025) puts the national median annual wage for graphic designers at $62,960. The 10th percentile is $39,520, the 25th $49,040, the 75th $81,830 and the 90th $104,910. These are all industries and all experience levels in the United States; pay in your city and at your level will differ.

What education do graphic designers need?

BLS lists “Bachelor's degree” as the typical education needed to enter graphic designers. It is the typical path, not a rule: postings set their own requirements.

How does AISkillScore check a Graphic Designer application?

We count, we do not guess. Job Match reads the posting’s requirements and, for each one, quotes the line in your resume that proves it, or says nothing was found. The resume rewrite keeps your claims and lists any number it could not find in your own words so you can check it before you send.

Sources

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Artificial Intelligence (AI) exposure categories; Occupational projections, 2025–35, and worker characteristics; Employment Projections definitions; Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025: Graphic designers. BLS data is in the public domain.

This page includes information from the O*NET 31.0 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. O*NET 31.0 Database · CC BY 4.0 · Graphic designers on O*NET OnLine. Changes: we show up to eight of the occupation’s core tasks, most important first, merged across the O*NET codes BLS groups into one occupation, and we add our own task tags.

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